All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez

As in the moments following the 2016 US election, win probabilities took center stage in public discourse after New England’s comeback victory in the Super Bowl over Atlanta. Unfortunately, n…

All Models Are Wrong - Alteryx Community

Probability: The Role of Probability in the World of Statistics - FasterCapital

What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League - IOS Press

All models are wrongand none are useful for predicting exam results

All Models Are Not Wrong – William M. Briggs

Resources - David L. Carey

What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League - IOS Press

Michael Lopez on X: All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful - a dive into NFL win probabilities / X

All Models Are Wrong - Alteryx Community

nflWAR: a reproducible method for offensive player evaluation in football

StatsbyLopez